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Girona - Alcorcon (2011-02-19)

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Spanish Primera

Girona FC is placed in 9th spot (33 points, 8W – 9D – 7L) in the Spanish Segunda. They are becoming a quite solid team for this always tough Spanish Segunda. They haven’t been beaten on 2011 and they are managing great results at quite difficult pitches like they did last fixture against SD Huesca winning in the last second with Jandro’s superb free kick. Raul Agne is the new coach and after his mediocre season in Recreativo Huelva he has come back to his home and the feelings with the squad are quite good after a bad last season with a lot of financial problems. They are becoming an offensive minded team and they are playing with three strikers lately among these (Kiko Raton or Despotovic, Jandro and Peragon). They will have the absence of Migue (central defender) who is injured. I expect this starting eleven: Santamaria, Jose, Serra, Tortolero, Bautista, Chechu, Angel, Dorca, Jandro, Peragón y Despotovic. 

Great streak

AD Alcorcon is placed in the 11th position (33 points, 10W – 3D – 11L) in the Spanish Segunda. They promoted previous season from Spanish Segunda B and they made the great deed to eliminate Real Madrid CF in the Spanish Cup. Santo Domingo Stadium is an authentic fortress and they know perfectly how to damage to every team which visits them, but they are also the worst team away from home in the Spanish Segunda. So different thing is when they play as guests. They have the following balance when they play away from home (1W – 2D -8L). They are the worst team in the Spanish Segunda when they play away from home. They only have won one match and it was against the rock bottom, SD Ponferradina. They have won 4 matches in a row and have been able to go out of the relegation danger so far. They will one important absence for this match and the whole season: Ruben Sanz (offensive midfielder) is injured.

Profitable Odds

I think this match should have a clearer favorite. I’m explaining that. The odds are conditioned by AD Alcorcon’s good streak of results, but I have to remember that streak are 4 wins in a row and three of those matches have been played at home and the only win away from home was against SD Ponferradina, the worst team in the Spanish division. I think the right handicap line in this match should be -0.5 and bookmakers have placed that line on -0.25, and if I review the AD Alcorcon’s away stats, I can see those stats are rather deficient ones. AD Alcorcon’s away record is 1W – 2D – 8L and AD Alcorcon’s away performances aren’t the same than when they play as hosts. It’s true that ADA has improved so much in these last matches, but they aren’t comfortable when they play as guests. Their away record is very poor and they will play against one of the most in form teams in Spanish Segunda at the moment. Girona FC is a quite balanced team and they have enough offensive power to win this ADA as locals. Coach Agne has managed a hard nut to crack at home where they only have lost one match five months ago. I think there is a good opportunity to bet on Asian handicap (-0.25) on local side. Girona FC only has lost one match at home and ADA only has won one match away from home, so it’s highly probable that ADA won’t win against one in form team as Girona FC. That line covers my half stake in case of draw, so I trust on Agné’s boys to manage a victory which gets close them to the play-offs zone.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-0.25)
Odd: 1.93
Bookie: Bwin
Stake: 7 /10
Tipster: Kather

 

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