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Dortmund - St. Pauli (2011-02-19)

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Bundesliga

Borussia is the best team in Bundesliga at the moment and they are also worthy leaders, being 10 points up from second placed Leverkusen. They are a very young team with a lot of enthusiasm and they have what every Bundesliga team lacks badly: a great defensive game. The offense isn’t neglected either, them creating many chances but they lack focus upfront lately. Kagawa’s injury doesn’t come well for the team, since Lewandowski is forced to play as a second striker, behind Barrios, and this isn’t his natural position. Otherwise, everything is working smooth despite not being able to win in the last 3 rounds. They are coming after a 1-1 draw at Kaiserlautern, being equalized in the added time, and they need to get on their winning ways soon. Subotic was red carded and will miss tomorrow’s game, with Santana most likely to replace him. 

On a good run

St Pauli is the most informal team from Bundesliga, a cosmopolite club who’s adding the spice in this already exciting competition. They are new promoted and, despite being dull and looking like a relegation candidate in the autumn, they’ve managed to get back on track lately, securing a mid table position at this time. They are undefeated this year, moreover coming after a 3 games winning streak. This is something special for the Hamburg based club, considering they are Bundesliga’s minnows. Last win came in the mid-week in the city derby, against Hamburger SV, a sweet moment for all their fans. They will also miss a regular central defender, Carlos Zambrano.

Home win

I honestly think St Pauli’s streak will end tomorrow. BVB aren’t in any kind of crisis like someone could believe, since their game is working very well and it’s only a matter of time since they will stop missing so many chances. I doubt their defense will allow many chances to the visitors and they will finally manage a win. The odds aren’t quite great for a single but they are definitely worth being taken in a double. I will go for the hosts to cover the -1,25 AH with medium stakes, taking the minimum risk of losing half the stake in case of a one goal win.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-1.25)
Odd: 1.77
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 5 /10
Tipster: Kather

 

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