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Mainz - Bayern (2011-02-19)

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Bundesliga

Mainz dropped on the 5th position after trailing the leaders BVB for most of the autumn season. It seems the magic is gone and they’ve managed only a win in 2011, a 1-0 away at Kaiserslautern. They are coming after a harsh 2-4 defeat at Koln, where they actually never got it going. From the team who used to press their opponents to suffocation, they’ve become one who is making silly mistakes in defense nad lost fluidity in attack. They’ve managed a win against Bayern in Munchen thanks to the goals of Allagui and Szalai but those times are looking very distant in the past. No important absents for them, coach Tuchel using most likely the following line-up: Müller - Zabavnik, Bungert, Noveski, Fuchs - Caligiuri, Fathi, Soto - Holtby - Allagui, Schürrle

On a rise

Bayern also had a bad season but they are slowly getting back on track, being favorites in the clash for the 2nd spot against Leverkusen. They still have defensive issues since Luiz Gustavo needs more time and Tymoschuk is playing on an unnatural position but from the midfield up they are terrific. Now Robben is fully fit (scored twice last round) and he can play along Ribbery from the beginning, something which is happening only for the second time this season. Muller will play in a central position while Gomez just needs to put the ball in.

Away win

Bayern is going well these days (despite the surprising loss from Koln), while Mainz is regressing. Both teams are going in different directions so it’s obvious to go with the in form one. If form isn’t enough, than another argument is the huge quality gap between these two teams, overwhelming in Bayern’s favor. The odds are short but they worth being backed for some medium-high stakes.

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Prediction:

Tip: 2
Odd: 1.67
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 6 /10
Tipster: Kather

 

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