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Asteras Tripolis - Kerkyra (2011-02-19)

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Hosts Asteras aren`t feeling very comfortable at the moment, being down on 14th place, 2 points behind safety. They are winless in the last 6 rounds (3 draws and 3 defeats) and have won a single game in the last 14 matches. They hold some other negative records, having the worst home record in the league (1W, 5D, 5L) and the worst attack from division (just 14 goals scored in 22 games). They have scored just 6 goals in 11 home matches, while in the last 6 rounds they have scored just once.

Improved form

The guests themselves will have to fight for their safety, as they are 3 places and 5 points above Asteras, but at least they have lifted their form lately. Kerkyra have lost just once in the last 4 rounds, winning twice and keeping 3 clean sheets in the process. They are not the most feared away team in the league, though they have won more points on the road than Asteras at home.

Wrong odds

The hosts are huge favorites to win this game, with the average odds around 1,7-1,75 and I find no reason to trust such a poor team. They have won only once at home all season and they are in miserable form at the moment, unable to score a goal. The bookies offer the X2 double chance at odds over 2 and considering that in 90% of Asteras home matches, that bet was won, it seems like a gift.

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Prediction:

Tip: 2 AH (+0.5)
Odd: 2.20
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 7 /10
Tipster: Kather

 

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