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Botswana - Tunisia (2010-11-17)

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Botswana are surprising leaders of AFCON qualifying group K with 3 wins and 1 draw.They are without loss in theire last 7 games achieving 3 wins and 1 draw in qualifiers , together with 3 wins in friendly games.They already won Tunisia 1:0 in away game and theire strength is defence that conceded only 2 goals in 7 last matches.They are in good position to qulify for the first time on AFCON and to get closer there they need to take some points today.They know that Tunisia are favorites and will wan’t to save there advantage of 3 points against them, so I think they will play on draw.

Favorites of the group

Tunisia started the campaign with a loss in front of theire fans from Botswana which was major surprise but they get back on track later with 2 wins and a draw.They achieve better results in away matches winning both of them and will try to make another win today and revenge loss from the first round.But that would be difficult since they have lot of missings in attack and some doubtfull players in defence.With that situation they can be also satisfied with draw on hot field in Botswana since first two places go further and they have away game with Malawi who is on third place.

Draw good result for both teams

Both teams are currently on places that will bring them to AFCON in Equatorial Guinea and Gabon and both will want to save them.That’s why every point is important in a race of three teams for 2 places.Tunisia will be motivated to revenge home loss from first round but home field is big advantage for Botswana.Also Tunisia is more complete and more experienced team, but they will miss three attackers and two defenders are doubtfull.They had also long trip to Botswana and are with more pressure then hosts.All this things are saying to me that this will be cautious game from both sides, trying more not to loose then to win this match and draw is most probable result for me in a game where I don’t expect open play and many scoring chances.

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Prediction:

Tip: X
Odd: 3.20
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 1 /10
Tipster: Kather

 

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