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Valencia - Getafe (2010-02-22)

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Spanish Primera

Valencia CF stays in third spot in League spot. They drew against Sporting Gijon. It was waiting for Valencia CF’s win in Asturias and they could beat their bad streak as guest. Valencia CF has an irregular walking in the league, alternating good matches with no solid matches which they aren’t usually finishing with victory. Anyway there is a big quality difference with the teams behind them, except Sevilla FC, and it seems to guarantee the fourth spot at least, which gives one spot for next Champions League. I strongly think that the four spots for the next season Champions League are given. It looks sure that FC Barcelona, Real Madrid CF, Valencia CF and Sevilla FC will be the chosen ones for these spots. The other teams haven’t enough power to fight for them. Later or soon Real Mallorca and Deportivo Coruña won’t be able to follow them. Valencia CF start this week the qualifying matches in Europe League. They will play against dangerous Club Brugges away from home. They stay in second spot in Belgian League. They will wait for Valencia CF with hostile stadium, cold weather and it will be tough for Valencia CF. So Valencia CF will have an additional debilitation and strength made this midweek. Although they have a great squad, last weekend I watched that some Valencia CF’s important players need a rest (Silva and Pablo Hernandez). I think the aim of Europe League can be very attractive for Valencia CF, because it looks that one of the Champions League spots can be theirs.

 

Back on track

Getafe CF stays in 8th spot. They have just knocked out in the Semi-Final Spanish Cup against Sevilla FC. Last weekend they suffered a draw in the injury time, when they thought that had caught the winning game, a goalkeeper’s mistake drove to a draw (2-2). The team made affect for the big tiring midweek match to try overcoming in Cup Semi-Final. The team has plenty of time (8 days) to recover sensations, and for Michel, ambitious coach, can connect his players back and they can reach one of two spot which access to Europe league next season. I think Getafe CF is very capable to reach it. I can see Getafe’s squad as a higher level than Real Mallorca’s and Deportivo Coruña’s and they can fight them with Villarreal CF and Athletic Bilbao. I’m sure during these eight days, Michel will establish the new targets, the team will get strength back and they will go to catch a good result in Mestalla Stadium. Getafe CF is one of the team which plays better in the Spanish Primera. They always want the ball and take advantage of their counter-attack system game when they play against better teams theoretically. They have a world class player, who is looked forward by Valencia CF, but I think there will be a lot of teams in whole Europe that will want to hire him. This player is Pedro Leon, his dribbling skills and precise passes can make grave troubles to Valencia CF’s defense. Important blow: Roberto Soldado (striker) suspended. Top goalscorer in Getafe CF. Boateng (defensive midfielder) will come back to the squad, very important for the team, because Getafe CF need him to hold the midfield and making his teammates’ play style easier.

Open game in Mestalla

It’s always risky to call a match when there are 8 days left to play. During 8 days a lot of circumstances can happen, injuries, bad sensations, but I can’t leave this value bet. I was expecting AH(+0.75), and even I was ready to bet on Getafe CF at that asian handicap, but I’ve found that bookmakers think Valencia CF is big favorite, and they have placed the AH(+1). So I can’t help calling Getafe CF AH(+1). This match will be played on Monday 22nd February. Supporters don’t want that their teams play on Monday. There won’t be a big home crowd and this won’t help Valencia CF at all. Valencia CF will have to play on Thursday in Belgium and depending on the first leg result, they can be thinking about second leg match which it will play three days after Getafe’s. Getafe CF plays football very good, if Valencia CF allows so many chances like in the previous host match, against Real Valladolid, it will be complicated that Getafe CF can’t get something positive in Mestalla. Valencia CF is usually being distracted easily, so although they score first, they always allow rivals to come back.

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Prediction:

Tip: 2 AH (+1)
Odd: 1.90
Bookie: Bwin
Stake: 5 /10
Tipster: Kather

 

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