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Bayern Munich - Mainz (2010-09-25)

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Bundesliga

Bayern Munich is not in form yet. Yes, they won against Hoffenheim and controlled the game, but they were lucky to score the winning goal in the last minute of the game. Ribery was one of their best players, but he will be out for 4 weeks due to an injury. Robbern remains sidelined, so we will see not a very creative style. Their bilance is only 2-2-1 so far in Bundesliga 1.

Surprise

Surpise, surprise. If you had bet before the season, that Mainz will be leader of Bundesliga with stats of 5-0-0 after 5 games, people would call you insane. But this is fact. Mainz won every game and each win was deserved. Their game against Wolfsburg was historically. They were down 3:0 against Wolfsburg and won 4:3. Away! They have no superstars, but a great coach in Tuchel, who prepares them well for every opponent. Schürrle is a very talented striker and was sold for 2011 to Leverkusen for about 12 Mio. Euro. Midfielder Holtby from Schalke is also a great talent and scored 2 goals last game. The defence works good.

VALUE

9.0 for a team, who has won all games so far? This is quite insane. Yes, Bayern has the better squad, but this odds are most take for me. I rate the chances for the "Karnevalsverein" to win in Allianz Arena about 20%. So the odds represent huge value. Lower risk is 2 dnb for 6,50 or the good priced other handicaps.

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Prediction:

Tip: X2
Odd: 3.05
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 3 /10
Tipster: Kather

 

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