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Juventus - Napoli (2009-10-31)

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Italia Seria A

After the series of 5 winless games, Juventus is now on a mini-winning series. They won their last 3 games, and everybody in the club wants them to continue in the same fashion. They convincingly defeated Sampdoria in their last game, and took over the 2nd spot in the standings. Now, only Inter’s ahead of them and coach Ferrara and his players are hoping they will surpass them soon as well. They won’t be able to do that after this match, as the point difference is 4, but they will surely do their best to increase the pressure on the league leaders. In the match against Sampdoria, they displayed some terrific play, and that was Juventus that we haven’t had a chance to see for a while. Excellent Amauri is sticking out as the true team leader, who was the scorer in the last 4 matches. The newbie Diego is excellent as well, acting as a true commander in the midfield. Juve is entering the game against Napoli as the real favorite. The stats are definitely on their side, as Napoli defeated them in Turin last time in 1988. Since Napoli isn’t playing too well away from home this season too, everybody from the Turin club expect yet another win. The health situation is slowly improving. Del Piero has recovered, but it’s very unlikely he will start the match. However, Iaquinta, Marchisio, Tiago, Salihamidzic, Ceceres and Zebina are still sidelined. Juventus’ lineup could look like this on Saturday: Buffon; Grygera, Cannavaro, Chiellini, Grosso; Poulsen, Sissoko, Camoranesi, Giovinco, Diego; Amauri

 

It`s tough away

Napoli has been playing quite variable in the new season. They are pretty good at home with a 3-2-0 record. However, they have been extremely poor away, as they lost 4 out of their 5 road games. They have some defensive problems, which isn’t at the last year’s level. Coach Mazzarri says the team has got great quality and their place surely is among the best 6 teams in the league. They haven’t shown that so far, and Neapolitans’ coach will have to find the right solutions in order for them to improve and reach the desired position. In the last match they played vs. Milan, they showed some great character. They were down by 2:0 at home with 5 minutes to go in the game. However, the support of around 65,000 loyal fans got them out of the shock. They played well and offensive and manage to deservedly equalize the game in the closing seconds and win a point. A match against Juventus will be very hard for the “Sky blue”, but if they want to further progress in the standings, they will have to start recording good results against the best teams. Mazzarri won’t be able to count on injured Santacroce and Zuniga. Contini is returning from suspension. The lineup will probably be the following: De Sanctis; Grava, Rinaudo, Cannavaro, Aronica; Maggio, Pazienza, Gargano; Hamsik, Lavezzi; Quagliarella.

The Old Lady closer to the goal

There’s no doubt Juventus are great favorites at this match. They got back in shape, and another very important factor is that they’ll be playing at home. However, we have to bare in mind that Juve is playing a very important CL match next Tuesday against Maccabi away already. That match is very significant for them, as a win is necessary in order to get a good position for passing to the next round of this competition. So, it’s possible that Juventus’ players will be thinking about that game a bit, which could give Napoli a chance to pull out an upset. Since the odds on a home win are relatively small, I’m gonna skip the final outcome and try with the bet on goals. Juve is in a goal-scoring form, while Napoli regularly scored, even at the matches they lost. The odds on the over are worth a medium-high punt.

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Prediction:

Tip: Over 2.75
Odd: 2.17
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 7 /10
Tipster: Kather

 

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